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positioning

How to position your product for a future nobody can predict - April Dunford

In periods of major market disruption like the current AI shift, positioning stops being a marketing afterthought and becomes existential: companies must not only position their product but stake out a point of view on the future of their entire category, rooted in genuine differentiated strengths and delivered as a non-scary staged pathway, or risk stalling sales and losing customers to uncertainty.

Mind the Product · 2026-09-02 · English

Key ideas

  1. Positioning is defined as how a product is the best in the world at delivering some value that a well-defined set of customers cares a lot about, functioning like the opening scene of a movie that orients an audience with no prior reference point.

  2. Every product team, by building a roadmap, is already making a bet on the future and has 'planted a flag whether you want to or not' — positioning's job is to explain that bet to customers.

  3. Major market disruptions (COVID, the on-prem-to-cloud shift, and now AI) force widespread repositioning; AI is described as possibly the biggest tech change ever seen.

  4. SaaS incumbents now face customers asking 'can't I just vibe code that?', while AI-native companies must figure out exactly who they are disrupting.

  5. During disruption, companies need a point of view on the future of the whole market, not just their own product, or enterprise customers freeze and delay purchases.

  6. Different companies' future visions map directly to their own core strengths: OpenAI frames itself as a metered utility ('the electric company'), Anthropic frames a B2B/programmer-replacement future, Replit envisions no more SaaS software, Microsoft argues models are commodities but proprietary context is the moat, and Salesforce argues the durable value is a 'headless' back end of data, logic, and workflows.

  7. Intercom's pivot to Fin (and its acquisition by Salesforce) is presented as a case of rebuilding a product from first principles around AI while staying anchored to the customer's actual job (resolving a support ticket) rather than 'AI for AI's sake.'

  8. A compelling future point of view is built by first identifying genuine core strengths and differentiated value, then extrapolating forward — not by reverse-engineering a self-serving story.

  9. Overhyping a distant AI-native future product backfires because customers respond by delaying purchase of the current product ('come back in two years'); the fix is a staged maturity-model pathway toward full agent automation that also delivers value today.

  10. Positioning should be revisited when either the delivered value changes or the company has moved into a different competitive category — and should also be checked periodically (recommended every six months) because the market itself keeps moving even without a change on your side.

  11. Without a disciplined positioning process, 'vibe positioning' collapses into competing opinions between marketing and product, which marketing/product never wins.

  12. Systematic mechanisms — customer advisory boards, quarterly executive sponsorship calls, and treating the internal sales team as an early-warning channel — are needed to catch shifts in budget allocation and competitive threats before they visibly hurt deals.

  13. Companies that say nothing during periods of uncertainty risk being assumed dead or irrelevant (cited via Stack Overflow and Salesforce's stock underperforming despite strong revenue).

  14. The speakers close by acknowledging humans are generally bad at predicting which changes (like remote work habits after COVID) will stick versus revert, yet forming a point of view about the future is still part of the job, with the caveat that you'll often be wrong.

  15. Positioning (core definition) — Positioning defines how a product is the best in the world at delivering some value that a well-defined set of customers cares a lot about. Apply: Use this definition as the explicit reference test for any product/company messaging decision.

  16. Positioning as context-setting (opening-scene analogy) — Positioning is compared to a movie's opening scene, whose job is to answer basic orienting questions so an audience with no reference point can settle in. Apply: When introducing something new, proactively answer 'what is this, where does it sit, who should I compare it to, why should I care, is this for me' instead of leaving customers to infer it.

  17. Jobs to Be Done (JTBD) — A messaging framework, applied by Intercom on its landing pages roughly 15 years ago, that centers copy on the customer's underlying job rather than product features. Apply: Write product/landing-page messaging around the job the customer is trying to accomplish (e.g., Intercom orienting around resolving a support ticket) rather than around feature lists.

  18. Point of view of the future (market-level) — A positioning tool for periods of category-wide disruption in which a company states a view of where the entire market is headed, not just where its own product is going. Apply: During disruption (e.g., AI), publish a stance on the whole category's trajectory so enterprise customers don't freeze while deciding whether to keep buying.

  19. Electricity/utility metaphor — OpenAI's framing of its future role as a metered utility ('the electric company') rather than an app-specific vendor. Apply: Infrastructure-layer companies can use this framing to signal indifference to what's built on top, billing by usage rather than by specific use case.

  20. Headless Salesforce — Salesforce's positioning concept that its enduring value lives in back-end data, logic, and workflows, which many different front ends (including AI agents) can touch. Apply: Platform companies facing commoditized front ends can reposition their value toward the hard-to-replicate back-end layer instead of the visible UI or seats.

  21. Models-as-commodity / context-as-moat — Satya Nadella's framing that AI models are interchangeable commodities while proprietary business context (in documents, SharePoint, email) is the scarce defensible asset. Apply: Companies holding proprietary customer/process data can position that context layer, not model quality, as their competitive moat.

  22. Sun/planets metaphor — A self-centered framing device positioning a company's platform as the fixed center that other tools and agents orbit around. Apply: Use to communicate that ecosystem activity, including new AI agents, still routes through and depends on your platform.

  23. Method for building a future point of view — A process of starting from 'what are we really good at / what value do we deliver' and extrapolating how that persists into the future, rather than reverse-engineering a flattering narrative. Apply: Before drafting a future-facing narrative, first pin down genuine current differentiated strengths, then project forward from those strengths.

  24. Differentiated value definition — The foundational and hardest step of the positioning process: identifying what you compete with, how you differ, and the value only you can deliver. Apply: Resolve executive-team disagreement on differentiated value first, since difficulty writing a future narrative usually traces back to this being unresolved.

  25. Maturity model / staged adoption pathway — A staged narrative for AI/agent transformation: model your processes, automate low-risk tasks with human-in-the-loop, extend to agent-assisted exception handling, then let agents do everything agents can do. Apply: Use it to sell a future-state AI vision without stalling present-day sales by showing customers an incremental, non-scary path forward.

  26. Formal positioning workshop process (vs. 'vibe positioning') — A repeatable method: identify competitive alternatives, identify differentiated capabilities, map capabilities to value themes, and map value themes to who cares (market category). Apply: Run this as a full workshop when positioning is unclear, then re-check it periodically to prevent positioning from becoming just competing personal opinions.

  27. Six-month positioning checkpoint cadence — A recommended recurring cadence for a lightweight 'speedrun' review of positioning to catch competitor changes, capability catch-up, or shifted value-theme mapping. Apply: Schedule a positioning review every six months regardless of a specific trigger, and adjust positioning if the checks reveal drift.

  28. Customer advisory board — A structured customer group convened to surface non-public shifts in budget allocation, vendor shortlisting, and purchase processes that voice-of-customer data can't reveal. Apply: Use advisory board sessions specifically to ask how budget allocation and AI-related strategic priorities have changed in the last six months.

  29. Executive sponsorship program — A program assigning each executive a set of customer accounts with mandated quarterly calls, used for relationship-building and probing shifting customer thinking. Apply: Implement quarterly executive-to-account calls as a systematic channel for early detection of changing customer sentiment.

  30. Sales team as early-warning channel — Treating the internal sales team's frontline conversations as a systematic source of competitive intelligence rather than an ignored resource. Apply: Proactively query salespeople about emerging competitors or shortlist changes instead of only noticing erosion after it has already hurt deals.

  31. Repositioning trigger criteria — Guidance that positioning should change specifically when either the delivered value changes or the company has moved into a different competitive/market category. Apply: Use these two criteria as a checklist to decide whether a genuine reposition, rather than a cosmetic refresh, is warranted.

  32. Positioning: The Battle for Your Mind (Ries & Trout, 1982) — The seminal positioning book, cited as defining positioning and showing good/bad consumer-market examples but not prescribing a method for doing the work. Apply: Referenced as foundational background, superseded in practice by April Dunford's own repeatable-process approach for B2B tech companies.

Insights

Repositioning is not just a naming or marketing exercise: April's own early-career example shows it restructured pricing ($200 direct download vs. bulk enterprise sales), the sales motion, and even required new engineering work (sync capability) once the product was repositioned from desktop software to an embeddable mobile database.

An executive team is always already building today's product on some implicit assumption about its future — the positioning task is often just to surface and articulate an assumption that already exists, not invent one from scratch.

Two seemingly opposed AI-era philosophies — Microsoft's 'everything still hits our stuff' platform-centrism and OpenAI's 'I don't care, I'm just the electric company' indifference to what's built on top — are framed as not necessarily being in conflict, since both can hold true in different layers of the same stack.

The internal sales team is described as an underused early-warning system for competitive threats: in a consumer business such a direct channel to daily customer conversations would be prized, but B2B leadership often 'never asks them anything' and instead just assumes the product 'sucks' based on guesswork.

Struggling to write a customer-facing point of view on the future is diagnosed as usually being a symptom of a deeper unresolved problem: the executive team hasn't actually agreed internally on what its differentiated value is.

The maturity-model pathway is explicitly a solution to a tension, not just a nice-to-have: talk too much about a distant AI-native future and you stall present-day deals; talk too little and customers assume you have no answer — the staged path lets a company do both at once.

COVID is used as a self-critical case study: some pandemic-driven behavior changes (like elevated online shopping) proved sticky while others (like virtual workshops) fully reverted within a few years, offered as direct evidence that forecasters of market change are frequently wrong even about very recent history.

«You've got to decide like you're making a bet right now.»

— 00:00

«positioning defines how our product is the best in the world at delivering something some value that a well-defined set of customers cares a lot about.»

— 04:07

«everybody's positioning houses on fire right now.»

— 07:26

«we're going to be like the electric company and you just buy it from us on a meter.»

— 13:19

«look at the value in the back end. All that data, the logic, the workflows, all these things that are very, very difficult to vibe code.»

— 15:18

«we are the sun and all the things are planets that revolve around us.»

— 16:49

«I don't care, man. I'm just the electric company. As long as I get my bit, that's good.»

— 18:52

«This is what we've got right now and these are the things in the pipeline. You figure it out.»

— 20:00

«Come back in two years when you got it and I'll buy it. I'm not buying your old crap right now.»

— 24:15

«You got to show them the pathway to get there that isn't scary.»

— 26:25

«If we're just vibe positioning, then it's just everybody's opinion... marketing product never win that fight.»

— 28:50

«We have that. It's called the sales team. And we never ask them anything.»

— 33:20

«We're terrible at predicting the future.»

— 37:09

«We have to accept the fact that we are often wrong.»

— 37:18

Reception

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A framework-dense practitioner interview that translates April Dunford's positioning methodology into the specific pressures of the AI disruption moment, offering concrete company examples (Intercom, Salesforce, Microsoft, OpenAI) alongside named repeatable processes for building and maintaining positioning.

37:51

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